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Recently, U.S. Treasury Secretary Basent made remarks about the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, sparking widespread discussion in the financial community. The interest rate strategy analysis team at Deutsche Bank questioned Basent's views, arguing that there are significant differences between them and the actual models used by the Federal Reserve.
Bessent has claimed that various models indicate that the current Intrerest Rate should be cut by 150 to 175 basis points. However, experts from Deutsche Bank, after in-depth research, failed to find specific models supporting this claim. The strategy team led by former Federal Reserve economist Matthew Raskin pointed out in a recent report that the rules used by the Federal Reserve in its semi-annual monetary policy report do not support such a large reduction in interest rates.
This controversy highlights the differences in views between government officials and market analysts regarding economic prospects and the direction of monetary policy. Deutsche Bank's analysis seems to suggest that Bessenet may have been overly optimistic in anticipating the extent and timing of interest rate cuts.
This has sparked more speculation in the financial markets regarding the future direction of the Federal Reserve's policies. Market participants are closely monitoring the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and economic data for clues that may influence the Intrerest Rate decisions.
Despite the disagreements, this discussion also reflects the complexity of the current economic environment and the challenges faced by decision-makers in balancing inflation control and economic growth. The future direction of the Federal Reserve's policies remains an important focus for financial markets.